2024 Real estate market analysis – Seoul, Korea

Seoul

Introduction

To understand the rental price trends in South Korea, it is crucial to first grasp the
dynamics of property sale prices and the unique “jeonse” system. The jeonse system
and property sales market are closely interconnected, with both influencing the rental
market significantly. This analysis will examine the key elements of South Korea’s
real estate market and how factors such as the COVID-19 pandemic, interest rate
changes, and price fluctuations have impacted housing prices and rental rates in
recent years.

The Jeonse System in South Korea

    The jeonse system is a unique rental arrangement in South Korea where tenants
    deposit a large sum of money with the landlord instead of paying monthly rent. At the
    end of the lease, the tenant receives the deposit back, and the landlord can use the
    lump sum for investment or other financial purposes. This system reduces the
    burden of monthly rent for tenants and allows landlords to secure large sums without
    taking out loans. Although the jeonse system operates somewhat independently
    from property sales, it is still greatly influenced by interest rate changes and market
    demand.

    The Impact of Lower Interest Rates During COVID-19 and the Rise in
    Property Prices

      During the COVID-19 pandemic, central banks worldwide lowered interest rates to
      stimulate the economy. South Korea also entered an era of ultra-low interest rates,
      making both jeonse loans and home purchase loans more accessible than before.
      Many people took advantage of these low interest rates to purchase homes, leading
      to a surge in housing demand and a sharp rise in property prices. In Seoul, between
      2020 and 2021, property prices surged by 20% to 30% in high-demand areas like
      Gangnam and Yongsan. This trend was particularly noticeable in major metropolitan
      areas, as property became a key investment during uncertain times.

      Rising Rent Prices Following the Increase in Home Prices

        As property prices rise, landlords increase rent to maintain their return on
        investment. As purchasing homes becomes more difficult, more people turn to
        jeonse or monthly rentals, leading to greater demand in the rental market and higher

        rental prices. The trend of converting jeonse properties to monthly rentals has also
        been on the rise, further increasing the burden on the rental market. Landlords have
        demanded higher security deposits and monthly rent to maximize their profits,
        especially during the post-pandemic housing boom. As a result, rental prices saw
        significant increases, aligning with the 20% to 30% rise in property values in sought-
        after regions during 2020-2021.

        Interest Rate Hikes Post-COVID and Housing Price Fluctuations

          After the pandemic, interest rates began to rise in 2022, leading to a decline in
          property prices in many regions. In South Korea, property prices in areas outside of
          central Seoul fell by approximately 5% to 10% in 2022 as a result of rising interest
          rates and stricter lending regulations. In particular, the increased burden of loan
          repayments discouraged potential buyers, further cooling the housing market.
          However, premium residential areas like Gangnam, which are in high demand and
          considered safe investments, saw only a temporary price dip of 5% to 8%, with
          prices starting to rebound in late 2023. By 2024, despite market fluctuations, housing
          prices in these areas remained significantly higher than pre-pandemic levels.

          The Impact of Foreign Demand on the Rental Market

            In areas where foreign residents are concentrated because the landlords there
            accept diplomatic clauses and the payment methods offered by embassies, rental
            competition intensifies, especially during the international school enrollment season
            from June to September. Foreign families arriving in South Korea to enroll their
            children in international schools search for housing during this period, causing rental
            prices to soar. Neighborhoods like Yongsan and Gangnam, near international
            schools, along with areas near embassies in Gwanghwa-mun and Jung-gu,
            experience a particularly high demand for upscale residences and large apartments,
            driving up rental prices significantly.

            Despite the market fluctuations caused by interest rate hikes, the high demand in
            these premium areas has kept rental prices elevated. In fact, in many cases, rental
            prices have either returned to their peak levels seen during the COVID-19 period or
            risen even higher. This reflects the strong influence of both foreign demand and the
            sustained appeal of these areas as prime residential locations, where competition
            remains fierce and prices resilient.

            Compare listings

            Compare